ROANOKE, Va. (WDBJ7) The 2017-2018 Winter Outlook has been published by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association (NOAA).
The Winter Weather Outlook, which is put together by the Climate Prediction Center every year, factors many variables including climate, current and future weather patterns.
Overall, their thinking for our area in Virginia is to experience a higher chance of warmer than average temperatures and an equal chance of either above or below average temperatures.
Last winter our area (and many across the US) experienced one of the warmest winters in recorded history. The current set up for this winter appears to be similar as NOAA is anticipating much of the southern half of the US to experience above average temps this winter.
In terms of precipitation, our area could experience an equal chance of either above or below average. However, they expect much of the southern half of the US to see a drier than average winter. If that were to be the case, drier weather in the south typically results in less of a chance for favorable winter weather in the Mid-Atlantic due to less available moisture.
Though NOAA does expect this winter to be warm, they do not anticipate it to be as extreme as recent years. It should also be noted that this is an average over a three month span. That does not mean we won't see any extreme events throughout the period.
Last season Roanoke received only 4.5” of snow, which was 10.1” below average for the area.