Increasing chances of rain as we end 2021

Highs well above average for most of the week
Mild conditions return and rain chances increase this week.
Published: Dec. 27, 2021 at 3:46 AM EST|Updated: Dec. 27, 2021 at 5:12 PM EST
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  • Cloudy tonight with some isolated showers
  • Highs in the 60s & 70s beginning Tuesday
  • Multiple chances of rain this week and possible this weekend

The familiar warm weather pattern is set to continue in the final week of 2021 capping off one of the warmest Decembers on record. Highs looks to build into the 60s and 70s this week thanks to a strong southwest flow. This same pattern will allow for multiple chances of rain this week extending into New Year’s weekend. We finally could get a taste of winter next week.

WARM, UNSETTLED PATTERN THIS WEEK

The unseasonably warm temperatures continue through the end of 2021. We’re expecting highs to climb well into the upper 50s to low 60s most days. In fact, Wednesday will likely be our warmest day with highs approaching 70°.

Mild conditions return on Tuesday.
Mild conditions return on Tuesday.(WDBJ Weather)

Models are also showing a more active weather pattern that could bring some much needed rain showers. Scattered rain chances move back into the picture Wednesday into Thursday with a front approaching the region. Rain totals look pretty modest this time around.

Rain chances increase for the middle of the week.
Rain chances increase for the middle of the week.(WDBJ Weather)

Rainfall amounts look to vary from West to East into Thursday morning. Here is a look at the rainfall outlook into Thursday morning.

Expected rainfall for the middle of the week.
Expected rainfall for the middle of the week.(WDBJ Weather)

It appears our best shot at widespread rain will arrive New Year’s weekend with a large system (or two) expected Saturday and Sunday. There remains uncertainty on the location of these systems, but odds are favorable for beneficial rain to begin 2022. A potent cold front could bring some bitter air to kick off the New Year.

Widespread rain likely New Year's weekend with cold air to follow.
Widespread rain likely New Year's weekend with cold air to follow.(WDBJ Weather)

At this time the 7 day rainfall outlook is shows the potential for a lot of rainfall for this coming weekend. This could change in the coming days.

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9fd8d3f3-eaa6-4915-855f-b9a947955f81(WDBJ Weather)

DROUGHT INDEX

The U.S. Drought Index shows the drought conditions are looking even worse for our area. The Moderate Drought has expanded all the way to the Blue Ridge Parkway. The Severe Drought areas remain across the Southside.

Moderate Drought expands east this week.
Moderate Drought expands east this week.(WDBJ7)