Tuesday's game features the Philadelphia Phillies (90-72) and the Miami Marlins (84-77) clashing at Citizens Bank Park in what is expected to be a close matchup, with a projected 5-4 win for the Phillies according to our computer prediction. Game time is at 8:08 PM ET on October 3.

The Phillies will look to Zack Wheeler (13-6) versus the Marlins and Jesus Luzardo (10-9).

Phillies vs. Marlins Game Info & Odds

  • When: Tuesday, October 3, 2023 at 8:08 PM ET
  • Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • How to Watch on TV: ESPN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo!

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Phillies vs. Marlins Score Prediction

Our prediction for this matchup is Phillies 5, Marlins 4.

Total Prediction for Phillies vs. Marlins

  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs

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Discover More About This Game

Phillies Performance Insights

  • The Phillies have played as the favorite in six of their past 10 games and won five of those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, Philadelphia and its opponents are 6-3-1 in its last 10 games with a total.
  • The Phillies have not played a game with a spread over their last 10 outings.
  • This season, the Phillies have won 63 out of the 105 games, or 60%, in which they've been favored.
  • Philadelphia is 30-19 this season when entering a game favored by -155 or more on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 60.8% chance to win.
  • Philadelphia is among the highest-scoring teams in the majors, ranking eighth with 796 total runs this season.
  • The Phillies have the 11th-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (4.04).

Marlins Performance Insights

  • In five games as the underdog over the last 10 matchups, the Marlins have a record of 3-2.
  • When it comes to the over/under, Miami and its foes are 5-4-1 in its last 10 contests.
  • The previous 10 Marlins contests have not had a runline posted by oddsmakers.
  • The Marlins have come away with 40 wins in the 85 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Miami has been victorious 12 times in 31 chances when named as an underdog of at least +125 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 44.4% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • The offense for Miami is No. 26 in baseball scoring 4.1 runs per game (666 total runs).
  • The Marlins have pitched to a 4.28 ERA this season, which ranks 18th in baseball.

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Phillies Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
September 27 Pirates W 7-6 Ranger Suárez vs Johan Oviedo
September 28 Pirates L 3-2 Zack Wheeler vs Luis Ortiz
September 30 @ Mets L 4-3 Taijuan Walker vs Tylor Megill
September 30 @ Mets L 11-4 Michael Plassmeyer vs José Quintana
October 1 @ Mets W 9-1 Matt Strahm vs Jose Butto
October 3 Marlins - Zack Wheeler vs Jesús Luzardo
October 4 Marlins - Aaron Nola vs Braxton Garrett

Marlins Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
September 27 @ Mets L 11-2 Braxton Garrett vs Joey Lucchesi
September 27 @ Mets W 4-2 Johnny Cueto vs Kodai Senga
September 29 @ Pirates W 4-3 Edward Cabrera vs Osvaldo Bido
September 30 @ Pirates W 7-3 JT Chargois vs Quinn Priester
October 1 @ Pirates L 3-0 Ryan Weathers vs Andre Jackson
October 3 @ Phillies - Jesús Luzardo vs Zack Wheeler
October 4 @ Phillies - Braxton Garrett vs Aaron Nola

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